| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs Houston Baptist (-) | W 56-13 | 6.84 | 3.03 | +3.81 | 97.57%
| -1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Samford (7-5, 5-3) | L 29-35 | 5.02 | 4.59 | +0.43 | 60.75%
| -2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Northwestern State (1-10, 0-9) | W 24-10 | 4.43 | 5.96 | -1.53 | 15.77%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Arkansas State (8-5, 7-1) | W 28-23 | 4.60 | 6.51 | -1.91 | 10.32%
| +4 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Abilene Christian (2-9, 2-7) | W 58-27 | 6.61 | 3.42 | +3.19 | 97.16%
| +3 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at McNeese (6-5, 5-4) | W 35-0 | 7.00 | 4.07 | +2.93 | 96.78%
| +4 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Lamar (3-8, 3-6) | W 22-12 | 5.32 | 2.86 | +2.47 | 94.83%
| -2 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Southeastern Louisiana (7-4, 7-2) | W 45-10 | 5.56 | 3.58 | +1.98 | 90.54%
| +4 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Stephen F. Austin (5-6, 4-5) | W 34-14 | 5.71 | 4.12 | +1.59 | 85.10%
| -3 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Nicholls (5-6, 5-4) | W 31-24 | 4.78 | 6.12 | -1.34 | 19.12%
| +3 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at #1 Sam Houston State (12-1, 9-0) | L 23-59 | 4.35 | 6.49 | -2.15 | 7.71%
| -5 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Illinois State (6-6, 4-4) | W 31-24 | 4.63 | 4.84 | -0.21 | 44.64%
| +1 |
| Dec 3December 3 | at Eastern Washington (12-2, 8-0) | L 14-31 | 4.00 | 5.31 | -1.31 | 19.71%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 8-1 | 5.29 | 4.69 | +0.599 | 7.40-5.60 (+2.60) | +4 |