| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Fri) | vs Toledo (9-4, 6-2) | L 10-31 | 4.22 | 7.32 | -3.09 | 2.95%
| +2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Auburn (8-5, 5-3) | L 14-51 | 5.02 | 8.31 | -3.29 | 2.78%
| +1 |
| Sep 16September 16 (Fri) | at Utah State (3-9, 1-7) | L 20-34 | 5.58 | 4.64 | +0.94 | 72.72%
| -2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Central Arkansas (10-3, 8-1) | L 23-28 | 6.51 | 4.60 | +1.91 | 89.67%
| -4 |
| Oct 5October 5 (Wed) | vs Georgia Southern (5-7, 4-4) | W 27-26 | 6.82 | 5.37 | +1.45 | 82.80%
| -5 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs South Alabama (6-7, 2-6) | W 17-7 | 4.43 | 4.40 | +0.04 | 50.90%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | W 51-10 | 6.03 | 4.73 | +1.30 | 79.99%
| +2 |
| Nov 3November 3 (Thu) | at Georgia State (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-16 | 4.01 | 4.30 | -0.29 | 42.75%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs New Mexico State (3-9, 2-6) | W 41-22 | 6.76 | 5.15 | +1.61 | 85.40%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 (Thu) | at #25 Troy (10-3, 6-2) | W 35-3 | 5.04 | 4.16 | +0.88 | 71.42%
| +5 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at Louisiana (6-7, 5-3) | L 19-24 | 5.79 | 5.12 | +0.67 | 66.50%
| -1 |
| Dec 3December 3 | at Texas State (2-10, 0-8) | W 36-14 | 5.49 | 3.25 | +2.25 | 93.18%
| +2 |
| Dec 17December 17 | at UCF (6-7, 4-4) | W 31-13 | 3.66 | 2.86 | +0.80 | 69.55%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 7-1 | 5.37 | 4.99 | +0.381 | 8.11-4.89 (-0.11) | +5 |