| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at Tulsa (3-9, 2-6) | L 27-38 | 4.33 | 5.40 | -1.07 | 24.48%
| +1 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Murray State (5-6, 5-3) | W 26-13 | 6.00 | 4.21 | +1.79 | 88.13%
| -1 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Southeastern Louisiana (4-7, 4-5) | W 33-25 | 6.71 | 5.70 | +1.01 | 74.27%
| +3 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Sam Houston State (6-5, 5-4) | L 31-34 | 5.80 | 5.47 | +0.34 | 58.51%
| +2 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs Houston Baptist (-) | W 66-35 | 7.54 | 4.84 | +2.70 | 96.04%
| +2 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at Stephen F. Austin (2-8, 2-7) | W 27-17 | 4.68 | 4.76 | -0.08 | 47.91%
| +2 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs Northwestern State (5-6, 4-5) | W 38-17 | 6.94 | 4.19 | +2.75 | 96.25%
| -1 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at #16 McNeese (6-5, 5-4) | L 21-23 | 7.05 | 4.08 | +2.97 | 96.86%
| 0 |
| Nov 3November 3 | vs Lamar (7-5, 6-3) | L 24-38 | 5.65 | 6.92 | -1.27 | 20.48%
| 0 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs Incarnate Word (6-5, 6-2) | L 27-40 | 6.07 | 7.46 | -1.39 | 18.31%
| -2 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Abilene Christian (6-5, 5-4) | W 16-7 | 3.70 | 4.20 | -0.50 | 37.35%
| +4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 5-4 | 5.83 | 5.30 | +0.526 | 6.59-4.41 (-0.59) | +10 |