| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | at Western Kentucky (9-4, 6-2) | W 35-28 | 7.31 | 6.60 | +0.72 | 67.67%
| +2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Austin Peay (11-4, 7-1) | W 24-16 | 5.25 | 4.88 | +0.38 | 59.44%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Abilene Christian (5-7, 4-5) | W 31-30 | 5.24 | 5.86 | -0.61 | 34.68%
| -2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Hawai'i (10-5, 5-4) | L 16-35 | 4.41 | 7.38 | -2.97 | 3.16%
| +3 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at #15 Nicholls (9-5, 7-2) | L 14-34 | 5.33 | 6.91 | -1.58 | 15.03%
| 0 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs McNeese (7-5, 5-4) | W 40-31 | 6.64 | 5.23 | +1.42 | 82.18%
| 0 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Northwestern State (3-9, 3-6) | W 31-30 | 5.39 | 5.08 | +0.31 | 57.92%
| -2 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs #25 Sam Houston State (7-5, 6-3) | W 29-25 | 6.43 | 5.62 | +0.81 | 69.87%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Lamar (4-8, 2-7) | W 45-17 | 7.43 | 4.01 | +3.41 | 97.29%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Southeastern Louisiana (8-5, 6-3) | L 0-34 | 4.35 | 6.05 | -1.70 | 13.19%
| -2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Stephen F. Austin (3-9, 3-6) | W 30-7 | 5.92 | 3.93 | +1.99 | 90.55%
| +2 |
| Nov 22November 22 (Fri) | at Incarnate Word (5-7, 4-5) | W 52-35 | 5.76 | 5.47 | +0.29 | 57.26%
| 0 |
| Dec 7December 7 | vs Illinois State (10-5, 5-4) | L 14-24 | 4.00 | 5.22 | -1.22 | 21.39%
| -4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 7-2 | 5.64 | 5.55 | +0.095 | 6.70-6.30 (+2.30) | -4 |