| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs #25 Central Arkansas (9-4, 7-2) | L 28-35 | 6.60 | 7.31 | -0.72 | 32.30%
| -2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Florida International (6-7, 3-5) | W 20-14 | 4.99 | 3.39 | +1.59 | 85.19%
| -2 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Louisville (8-5, 5-3) * | L 21-38 | 4.11 | 6.19 | -2.08 | 8.40%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs UAB (9-5, 6-3) | W 20-13 | 4.19 | 4.26 | -0.07 | 48.24%
| +3 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Old Dominion (1-11, 0-8) | W 20-3 | 4.85 | 2.76 | +2.09 | 91.65%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Army (5-8) | W 17-8 | 4.51 | 4.33 | +0.17 | 54.37%
| 0 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Charlotte (7-6, 5-3) | W 30-14 | 5.32 | 4.85 | +0.47 | 61.80%
| +1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Marshall (8-5, 6-2) | L 23-26 | 6.27 | 5.99 | +0.28 | 57.06%
| -3 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Florida Atlantic (11-3, 8-1) | L 24-35 | 6.08 | 6.59 | -0.51 | 37.30%
| -4 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Arkansas (2-10, 0-8) | W 45-19 | 6.05 | 6.30 | -0.25 | 43.76%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Southern Mississippi (7-6, 5-3) | W 28-10 | 5.62 | 5.32 | +0.30 | 57.58%
| +2 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Middle Tennessee (4-8, 3-5) | W 31-26 | 8.32 | 5.75 | +2.56 | 95.40%
| +1 |
| Dec 30December 30 (Mon) | at Western Michigan (7-6, 5-3) * | W 23-20 | 6.01 | 4.58 | +1.43 | 82.45%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 6-2 | 5.60 | 5.22 | +0.378 | 7.55-5.45 (+1.45) | -6 |