| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29August 29 | vs Austin Peay (4-5) * | W 24-17 | 5.75 | 4.69 | +1.06 | 75.30% | -1 |
| Sep 3September 3 (Thu) | at UAB (6-3, 4-1) | L 35-45 | 4.37 | 5.53 | -1.16 | 22.68% | 0 |
| Sep 26September 26 | vs Missouri State (5-5) | W 27-20 | 2.95 | 3.38 | -0.43 | 39.07% | +2 |
| Oct 3October 3 | at North Dakota State (7-3) | L 28-39 | 4.71 | 5.58 | -0.86 | 28.90% | 0 |
| Oct 10October 10 | at Arkansas State (4-7, 2-6) | L 27-50 | 4.72 | 7.54 | -2.82 | 3.54% | -2 |
| Oct 17October 17 | at Missouri State (5-5) | W 33-24 | 3.67 | 4.71 | -1.04 | 25.02% | +6 |
| Oct 24October 24 | at Eastern Kentucky (3-6) | L 28-31 | 6.16 | 6.97 | -0.81 | 30.17% | -1 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs Missouri Western (0-1) | W 52-10 | 8.56 | 3.91 | +4.64 | 100.00% | +1 |
| Nov 14November 14 | vs Eastern Kentucky (3-6) | W 37-25 | 6.65 | 5.59 | +1.06 | 75.37% | -1 |
| Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin | ||
| 5-4 | 5.25 | 5.32 | -0.069 | 4.00-5.00 (+1.00) | +4 |