| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | at Memphis (8-3, 5-3) | L 24-37 | 5.37 | 6.00 | -0.63 | 34.25%
| -2 |
| Sep 12September 12 | at Kansas State (4-6, 4-5) | W 35-31 | 6.89 | 5.42 | +1.47 | 83.08%
| -2 |
| Oct 3October 3 | at Coastal Carolina (11-1, 8-0) | L 23-52 | 6.11 | 6.74 | -0.63 | 34.40%
| +1 |
| Oct 10October 10 | vs Central Arkansas (5-4) | W 50-27 | 7.54 | 4.72 | +2.82 | 96.46%
| +2 |
| Oct 15October 15 (Thu) | vs Georgia State (6-4, 4-4) | W 59-52 | 6.34 | 7.67 | -1.33 | 19.39%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 (Thu) | at Appalachian State (9-3, 6-2) | L 17-45 | 4.78 | 7.78 | -3.00 | 3.10%
| 0 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs Troy (5-6, 3-4) | L 10-38 | 4.99 | 6.01 | -1.03 | 25.39%
| -1 |
| Nov 7November 7 | at Louisiana (10-1, 7-1) | L 20-27 | 5.04 | 6.57 | -1.53 | 15.81%
| -1 |
| Nov 21November 21 | at Texas State (2-10, 2-6) | L 45-47 | 7.33 | 8.02 | -0.69 | 32.90%
| -1 |
| Nov 28November 28 | vs South Alabama (4-7, 3-5) | L 31-38 | 6.77 | 6.40 | +0.37 | 59.37%
| +1 |
| Dec 5December 5 | vs Louisiana Monroe (0-10, 0-7) | W 48-15 | 9.20 | 4.55 | +4.65 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-7, 2-6 | 6.35 | 6.30 | +0.049 | 5.04-5.96 (-1.04) | -4 |