| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | at Arkansas State (2-10, 1-7) | L 21-40 | 5.45 | 6.78 | -1.32 | 19.44%
| -1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at #25 Missouri State (8-4, 6-2) | L 34-43 | 6.76 | 5.34 | +1.42 | 82.23%
| -2 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff (2-9, 1-7) | W 45-23 | 5.63 | 5.13 | +0.50 | 62.43%
| 0 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs #1 Sam Houston State (11-1, 8-0) | L 35-45 | 4.87 | 5.90 | -1.04 | 25.18%
| -1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at Abilene Christian (5-6, 3-5) | W 42-21 | 7.05 | 6.52 | +0.54 | 63.37%
| +3 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Eastern Kentucky (7-4, 5-2) | L 35-38 | 6.68 | 5.01 | +1.67 | 86.29%
| 0 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at Lamar (2-9, 0-8) | W 49-38 | 7.84 | 6.49 | +1.36 | 81.10%
| +1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Jacksonville State (5-6, 3-3) | W 38-14 | 5.26 | 5.69 | -0.42 | 39.36%
| +3 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs Texas Wesleyan (0-1) | W 63-3 | 11.25 | 3.06 | +8.19 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Stephen F. Austin (8-4, 6-2) | L 14-27 | 4.68 | 6.58 | -1.90 | 10.41%
| -1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Tarleton State (6-5, 3-4) | L 3-24 | 2.78 | 7.69 | -4.92 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 3-4 | 6.20 | 5.91 | +0.296 | 5.70-5.30 (-0.70) | +3 |