| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | at Western Carolina (4-7, 4-4) | W 31-28 | | | | | |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Louisville (6-7, 4-4) | L 3-30 | 4.20 | 5.42 | -1.23 | 21.33%
| -3 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Indiana State (5-6, 3-5) | L 21-23 | 4.56 | 5.06 | -0.51 | 37.25%
| +1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs #20 Austin Peay (6-5, 4-3) | W 35-27 | 4.96 | 4.40 | +0.57 | 64.15%
| +2 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs Tarleton State (6-5, 3-4) | W 20-3 | 5.70 | 4.16 | +1.54 | 84.32%
| +1 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Abilene Christian (5-6, 3-5) | W 30-15 | 6.48 | 4.76 | +1.72 | 87.04%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at Central Arkansas (5-6, 3-4) | W 38-35 | 5.01 | 6.68 | -1.67 | 13.69%
| 0 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Lamar (2-9, 0-8) | W 42-10 | 7.33 | 3.39 | +3.95 | 97.86%
| 0 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Stephen F. Austin (8-4, 6-2) | L 17-31 | 5.24 | 7.81 | -2.57 | 4.58%
| 0 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at #1 Sam Houston State (11-1, 8-0) | L 28-42 | 5.41 | 6.95 | -1.53 | 15.76%
| -1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs Jacksonville State (5-6, 3-3) | W 39-31 | 5.08 | 5.48 | -0.40 | 39.95%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-4, 5-2 | 5.40 | 5.42 | -0.020 | 4.66-5.34 (+2.34) | +1 |