| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs #8 Missouri State (5-6, 3-5) | L 14-27 | 4.74 | 5.74 | -1.01 | 25.81%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at #22 Ole Miss (8-5, 4-4) | L 3-59 | 3.28 | 7.39 | -4.11 | 1.54%
| -3 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Idaho State (1-10, 1-7) | W 31-16 | 6.43 | 5.51 | +0.92 | 72.24%
| +2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Southeast Missouri State (9-3, 5-0) | L 27-35 | 6.91 | 5.94 | +0.97 | 73.48%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs #16 Austin Peay (7-4, 2-2) | W 49-20 | 5.27 | 3.53 | +1.74 | 87.39%
| +1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Lindenwood (7-3, 2-3) | L 49-52 | 8.81 | 7.63 | +1.18 | 77.65%
| +2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Kennesaw State (5-6, 0-4) | W 51-24 | 7.76 | 5.23 | +2.53 | 95.22%
| -2 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs North Alabama (1-10) | W 64-29 | 11.28 | 5.52 | +5.76 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Eastern Kentucky (7-5, 2-2) | L 14-42 | 5.13 | 6.80 | -1.68 | 13.51%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Stephen F. Austin (6-5, 5-2) | W 34-7 | 6.67 | 3.35 | +3.32 | 97.25%
| -3 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Jacksonville State (9-2, 4-0) | L 17-40 | 6.73 | 6.15 | +0.58 | 64.38%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 2-2 | 6.61 | 5.68 | +0.929 | 7.08-3.92 (-2.08) | -4 |