| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Fri) | at Eastern Michigan (9-4, 5-3) | L 34-42 | 6.23 | 6.27 | -0.04 | 48.91%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Bowling Green (6-7, 5-3) | W 59-57 | 5.26 | 5.07 | +0.19 | 54.83%
| -1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Charleston Southern (2-8, 2-3) | W 40-17 | 7.00 | 4.58 | +2.42 | 94.55%
| +1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at #23 Austin Peay (7-4, 2-2) | L 20-31 | 5.48 | 5.74 | -0.26 | 43.37%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Southern Utah (5-6, 2-4) | W 35-28 | 7.86 | 6.45 | +1.42 | 82.18%
| -1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Sam Houston State (5-4, 3-2) | L 17-25 | 5.45 | 4.12 | +1.34 | 80.75%
| -2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs North Alabama (1-10) | W 56-53 | 7.43 | 7.51 | -0.08 | 47.83%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at #14 Southeast Missouri State (9-3, 5-0) | W 28-23 | 6.85 | 7.22 | -0.37 | 40.61%
| +3 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Central Arkansas (5-6, 2-2) | W 42-14 | 6.80 | 5.13 | +1.68 | 86.47%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Jacksonville State (9-2, 4-0) | L 17-42 | 5.94 | 7.29 | -1.35 | 18.90%
| -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Kennesaw State (5-6, 0-4) | W 45-38 | 9.56 | 7.55 | +2.01 | 90.85%
| +1 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Gardner-Webb (7-6, 5-0) | L 41-52 | 6.30 | 7.37 | -1.06 | 24.62%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 2-2 | 6.62 | 6.16 | +0.459 | 7.14-4.86 (-0.14) | +1 |