| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | vs Alabama A&M (4-7, 4-5) | W 52-10 | 7.15 | 3.91 | +3.24 | 97.20%
| -1 |
| Sep 12September 12 | vs Temple (10-4, 7-2) | L 26-34 | 6.71 | 5.29 | +1.43 | 82.35%
| -4 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at Miami (OH) (3-9, 2-6) | W 37-33 | 5.80 | 5.97 | -0.18 | 45.53%
| -3 |
| Sep 24September 24 (Thu) | at Memphis (9-4, 5-3) | L 46-53 | 7.52 | 7.81 | -0.29 | 42.69%
| -2 |
| Oct 1October 1 (Thu) | vs Miami (8-5, 5-3) | W 34-23 | 6.66 | 5.93 | +0.73 | 67.91%
| -1 |
| Oct 16October 16 (Fri) | at BYU (9-4) | L 24-38 | 4.43 | 7.36 | -2.93 | 3.23%
| +1 |
| Oct 24October 24 | vs Connecticut (6-7, 4-4) | W 37-13 | 7.29 | 3.75 | +3.54 | 97.33%
| +1 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs UCF (0-12, 0-8) | W 52-7 | 9.81 | 4.89 | +4.92 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 7November 7 | at #25 Houston (13-1, 8-1) | L 30-33 | 8.54 | 4.91 | +3.63 | 97.38%
| -1 |
| Nov 14November 14 | vs Tulsa (6-7, 3-5) | W 49-38 | 7.86 | 6.61 | +1.25 | 79.10%
| -2 |
| Nov 20November 20 (Fri) | at South Florida (8-5, 6-2) | L 27-65 | 5.00 | 7.69 | -2.68 | 4.02%
| -3 |
| Nov 28November 28 | at East Carolina (5-7, 3-5) | W 19-16 | 4.74 | 5.58 | -0.84 | 29.56%
| -1 |
| Dec 24December 24 (Thu) | vs San Diego State (11-3, 9-0) * | L 7-42 | 4.43 | 5.25 | -0.82 | 29.87%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 6.60 | 5.79 | +0.809 | 7.76-5.24 (-0.76) | -19 |