| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs UCLA (4-8, 4-5) | W 24-14 | 5.56 | 3.52 | +2.04 | 91.21%
| +2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at #5 Ohio State (13-1, 10-0) | L 0-42 | 4.79 | 6.96 | -2.17 | 7.50%
| -2 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Miami (OH) (8-6, 7-2) | W 35-13 | 5.39 | 3.57 | +1.82 | 88.43%
| 0 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Marshall (8-5, 6-2) | W 52-14 | 6.82 | 4.34 | +2.48 | 94.91%
| -1 |
| Oct 4October 4 (Fri) | vs #18 UCF (10-3, 6-2) | W 27-24 | 4.74 | 4.81 | -0.07 | 48.18%
| +3 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Houston (4-8, 2-6) | W 38-23 | 6.79 | 6.33 | +0.46 | 61.65%
| +4 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Tulsa (4-8, 2-6) | W 24-13 | 5.03 | 4.38 | +0.65 | 66.08%
| +3 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at East Carolina (4-8, 1-7) | W 46-43 | 7.73 | 7.33 | +0.40 | 59.98%
| -1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Connecticut (2-10, 0-8) | W 48-3 | 7.14 | 3.46 | +3.68 | 97.41%
| 0 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at South Florida (4-8, 2-6) | W 20-17 | 4.21 | 5.92 | -1.71 | 13.08%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Temple (8-5, 5-3) | W 15-13 | 3.04 | 4.19 | -1.15 | 22.91%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | at #17 Memphis (12-2, 8-1) | L 24-34 | 5.29 | 6.75 | -1.46 | 16.94%
| -2 |
| Dec 7December 7 | at #17 Memphis (12-2, 8-1) | L 24-29 | 5.97 | 5.26 | +0.71 | 67.65%
| -1 |
| Jan 2January 2 (Thu) | vs Boston College (6-7, 4-4) * | W 38-6 | 5.04 | 3.49 | +1.55 | 84.55%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-3, 7-2 | 5.53 | 5.13 | +0.401 | 8.20-5.80 (+2.80) | +6 |