| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Bucknell (3-8, 3-3) | W 56-12 | 8.48 | 3.10 | +5.37 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs #21 Maryland (3-9, 1-8) | W 20-17 | 5.62 | 4.00 | +1.62 | 85.56%
| -2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Buffalo (8-5, 5-3) | L 22-38 | 3.91 | 3.82 | +0.08 | 52.10%
| -2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Georgia Tech (3-9, 2-6) | W 24-2 | 4.54 | 4.36 | +0.18 | 54.50%
| +2 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Thu) | at East Carolina (4-8, 1-7) | W 27-17 | 5.51 | 4.48 | +1.03 | 74.59%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs #23 Memphis (12-2, 8-1) | W 30-28 | 5.37 | 6.39 | -1.02 | 25.41%
| +2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at #19 SMU (10-3, 6-2) | L 21-45 | 3.96 | 6.01 | -2.05 | 8.69%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs UCF (10-3, 6-2) | L 21-63 | 3.75 | 8.65 | -4.90 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 7November 7 (Thu) | at South Florida (4-8, 2-6) | W 17-7 | 5.16 | 3.81 | +1.35 | 80.97%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Tulane (7-6, 3-5) | W 29-21 | 5.74 | 3.96 | +1.78 | 87.92%
| +2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at #19 Cincinnati (11-3, 7-2) | L 13-15 | 4.19 | 3.04 | +1.15 | 77.06%
| 0 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Connecticut (2-10, 0-8) | W 49-17 | 9.26 | 4.87 | +4.39 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Dec 27December 27 (Fri) | vs North Carolina (7-6, 4-4) * | L 13-55 | 4.12 | 7.12 | -3.00 | 3.10%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-3 | 5.36 | 4.93 | +0.427 | 7.50-5.50 (+0.50) | 0 |