| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | at Minnesota (8-5, 5-3) | L 20-42 | 4.26 | 5.83 | -1.57 | 15.23%
| -2 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs #25 Southern Illinois (6-6, 3-5) | L 21-38 | 5.64 | 5.57 | +0.06 | 51.61%
| -1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Illinois State (13-2, 8-1) | L 15-34 | 4.64 | 5.82 | -1.18 | 22.16%
| -4 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Austin Peay (1-11, 1-7) | W 63-7 | 7.56 | 3.67 | +3.89 | 97.71%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Ohio (6-6, 4-4) | L 19-34 | 5.61 | 5.38 | +0.24 | 55.95%
| +2 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at #16 Eastern Kentucky (9-4, 6-2) | L 33-36 | 5.88 | 4.90 | +0.98 | 73.52%
| 0 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Southeast Missouri State (5-7, 3-5) | W 52-13 | 6.45 | 4.11 | +2.34 | 93.92%
| +5 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Tennessee State (6-6, 3-5) | W 28-3 | 6.38 | 4.48 | +1.89 | 89.46%
| +3 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Tennessee Tech (5-7, 4-4) | W 41-10 | 8.08 | 3.41 | +4.67 | 100.00%
| -2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Murray State (3-9, 1-7) | W 48-26 | 6.29 | 6.36 | -0.07 | 48.28%
| +2 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at #3 Jacksonville State (10-2, 8-0) | L 20-27 | 4.16 | 5.34 | -1.18 | 22.28%
| -1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs UT Martin (6-6, 5-3) | L 16-37 | 6.06 | 6.45 | -0.39 | 40.23%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 5-3 | 5.89 | 5.10 | +0.786 | 7.10-4.90 (-2.10) | +1 |