| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Fri) | at #8 Michigan State (11-2, 7-1) | L 7-45 | 3.94 | 7.64 | -3.70 | 2.58%
| -3 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at #15 Chattanooga (10-4, 7-0) | W 26-23 | 4.99 | 1.95 | +3.04 | 96.98%
| -2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs West Alabama (0-1) | W 45-34 | 7.16 | 7.55 | -0.39 | 40.17%
| -2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Murray State (3-9, 1-7) | W 52-28 | 6.61 | 5.22 | +1.39 | 81.78%
| 0 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs UT Martin (6-6, 5-3) | W 38-14 | 5.58 | 3.22 | +2.36 | 94.10%
| +2 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at #25 Tennessee State (6-6, 3-5) | W 27-20 | 5.52 | 4.90 | +0.62 | 65.34%
| +2 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Tennessee Tech (5-7, 4-4) | W 49-3 | 6.85 | 3.05 | +3.80 | 97.55%
| 0 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Austin Peay (1-11, 1-7) | W 56-0 | 7.44 | 2.44 | +5.00 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at #15 Eastern Kentucky (9-4, 6-2) | W 20-6 | 5.69 | 4.29 | +1.39 | 81.76%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Eastern Illinois (5-7, 5-3) | W 27-20 | 5.34 | 4.16 | +1.18 | 77.69%
| +1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Southeast Missouri State (5-7, 3-5) | W 49-30 | 7.20 | 6.10 | +1.10 | 76.13%
| 0 |
| Dec 6December 6 | vs #19 Sam Houston State (11-5, 8-1) | L 26-37 | 7.13 | 5.58 | +1.54 | 84.33%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-2, 8-0 | 6.18 | 4.76 | +1.424 | 8.98-3.02 (+1.02) | -2 |