| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 (Thu) | at Indiana State (0-11, 0-8) | W 22-20 | 3.61 | 4.73 | -1.12 | 23.52%
| +2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Northern Illinois (8-5, 6-2) | L 10-38 | 2.43 | 6.09 | -3.66 | 2.61%
| 0 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs #14 Illinois State (6-5, 4-4) | L 13-44 | 1.95 | 6.44 | -4.49 | 0.00%
| -3 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 3-5) | W 19-16 | 5.47 | 4.86 | +0.61 | 65.11%
| +2 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at #24 Tennessee State (6-5, 2-5) | W 19-16 | 3.04 | 3.02 | +0.02 | 50.58%
| +79 |
| Oct 7October 7 | vs Tennessee Tech (1-10, 1-7) | W 24-23 | 6.13 | 4.59 | +1.54 | 84.38%
| 0 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at Murray State (3-8, 2-5) | W 27-24 | 6.10 | 4.94 | +1.16 | 77.44%
| -2 |
| Oct 21October 21 | vs #3 Jacksonville State (10-2, 8-0) | L 14-30 | 3.97 | 5.35 | -1.38 | 18.47%
| 0 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at UT Martin (6-5, 4-4) | L 10-27 | 4.10 | 3.77 | +0.34 | 58.56%
| -4 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Eastern Kentucky (4-7, 3-5) | W 23-20 | 4.81 | 4.44 | +0.36 | 59.10%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at Austin Peay (8-4, 7-1) | L 13-28 | 4.50 | 4.98 | -0.48 | 38.05%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 5-3 | 4.20 | 4.90 | -0.695 | 4.78-6.22 (+1.22) | +72 |