| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at Kansas State (10-3, 7-2) | L 7-10 | 2.83 | 4.13 | -1.30 | 19.91%
| +4 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Missouri State (2-9, 2-6) | W 28-24 | 5.45 | 5.74 | -0.29 | 42.62%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs #14 Chattanooga (5-6, 3-5) | L 14-23 | 4.42 | 4.92 | -0.49 | 37.60%
| -1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Austin Peay (3-8, 2-6) | L 17-23 | 5.51 | 4.78 | +0.73 | 68.05%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Eastern Illinois (2-9, 1-7) | W 48-16 | 8.08 | 5.44 | +2.64 | 95.80%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 2-6) | W 41-17 | 4.60 | 6.56 | -1.96 | 9.74%
| +3 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Tennessee State (5-6, 4-4) | W 33-22 | 6.59 | 6.16 | +0.42 | 60.65%
| +2 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Murray State (7-4, 5-3) | W 34-33 | 5.57 | 7.11 | -1.55 | 15.57%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at #18 Jacksonville State (7-4, 6-2) | W 52-48 | 7.17 | 8.97 | -1.80 | 11.80%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Tennessee Tech (7-4, 6-2) | L 21-28 | 4.51 | 5.21 | -0.70 | 32.77%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs UT Martin (5-6, 4-4) | W 23-16 | 5.04 | 4.66 | +0.38 | 59.53%
| +2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs #17 James Madison (8-5, 5-3) | L 17-20 | 4.95 | 4.68 | +0.27 | 56.94%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 6-2 | 5.48 | 5.67 | -0.185 | 5.11-6.89 (+1.89) | +9 |