| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | at #9 Jacksonville State (7-4, 6-2) | L 23-24 | 6.79 | 4.80 | +1.99 | 90.55%
| -1 |
| Sep 15September 15 (Thu) | vs Union College (0-1) | W 63-0 | | | | | |
| Sep 22September 22 (Thu) | vs #24 Murray State (7-4, 5-3) | W 48-26 | 6.13 | 6.30 | -0.18 | 45.54%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Tennessee Tech (7-4, 6-2) | L 31-34 | 5.23 | 5.99 | -0.76 | 31.28%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Austin Peay (3-8, 2-6) | W 61-23 | 6.90 | 5.02 | +1.88 | 89.33%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at South Alabama (4-4) | L 30-33 | 5.83 | 5.30 | +0.52 | 63.11%
| -1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Eastern Illinois (2-9, 1-7) | W 24-23 | 5.26 | 4.60 | +0.66 | 66.27%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 2-6) | W 38-30 | 5.69 | 5.17 | +0.53 | 63.14%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Mississippi State (7-6, 2-6) | L 17-55 | 5.61 | 8.26 | -2.66 | 4.15%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Tennessee State (5-6, 4-4) | L 30-35 | 6.35 | 8.32 | -1.97 | 9.62%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Eastern Kentucky (7-5, 6-2) | L 16-23 | 4.66 | 5.04 | -0.38 | 40.43%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 4-4 | 5.88 | 5.86 | +0.020 | 5.03-4.97 (-0.03) | -4 |