| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | at Robert Morris (1-10, 1-5) | W 29-10 | 6.43 | 3.33 | +3.10 | 97.07%
| -4 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Miami (OH) (2-10, 2-6) | W 17-10 | 4.67 | 4.66 | +0.01 | 50.26%
| +4 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Morehead State (4-8, 3-5) | W 55-13 | 8.08 | 4.00 | +4.08 | 98.31%
| +1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at UT Martin (6-6, 5-3) | W 49-24 | 8.46 | 5.98 | +2.49 | 94.95%
| +3 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at Austin Peay (1-11, 1-7) | W 31-0 | 4.66 | 3.17 | +1.49 | 83.49%
| +2 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs Eastern Illinois (5-7, 5-3) | W 36-33 | 4.90 | 5.88 | -0.98 | 26.45%
| 0 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Tennessee Tech (5-7, 4-4) | L 31-39 | 5.82 | 5.15 | +0.67 | 66.58%
| -4 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Southeast Missouri State (5-7, 3-5) | W 33-21 | 5.43 | 5.98 | -0.54 | 36.41%
| +1 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Tennessee State (6-6, 3-5) | W 56-42 | 4.95 | 6.16 | -1.21 | 21.60%
| +2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs #4 Jacksonville State (10-2, 8-0) | L 6-20 | 4.29 | 5.69 | -1.39 | 18.21%
| -1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Murray State (3-9, 1-7) | W 43-36 | 6.38 | 6.20 | +0.18 | 54.56%
| -1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Florida (7-5, 4-4) | L 3-52 | 1.97 | 7.05 | -5.08 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs #21 Indiana State (8-6, 4-4) | L 16-36 | 4.26 | 5.63 | -1.37 | 18.56%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 6-2 | 5.42 | 5.30 | +0.120 | 6.66-6.34 (+2.34) | +3 |