| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs Valparaiso (1-11, 1-7) | W 53-7 | 7.25 | 2.88 | +4.37 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Louisville (8-5, 5-3) | L 0-42 | 2.92 | 9.35 | -6.43 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Indiana State (5-7, 3-5) | L 7-19 | 4.13 | 5.12 | -0.98 | 26.27%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Presbyterian College (1-10, 1-6) | W 35-10 | 6.28 | 3.34 | +2.93 | 96.78%
| 0 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Tennessee State (3-9, 2-6) | W 42-16 | 7.84 | 5.46 | +2.38 | 94.24%
| +3 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs UT Martin (7-5, 6-2) | L 28-38 | 5.11 | 6.57 | -1.46 | 17.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Murray State (4-8, 2-6) | W 34-27 | 5.16 | 5.45 | -0.29 | 42.73%
| +2 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Eastern Illinois (1-11, 1-7) | W 33-6 | 4.10 | 1.53 | +2.57 | 95.43%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs #25 Austin Peay (11-4, 7-1) | L 21-28 | 4.10 | 4.70 | -0.61 | 34.83%
| -2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at #18 Southeast Missouri State (9-4, 7-1) | L 31-38 | 4.67 | 6.85 | -2.19 | 7.35%
| +3 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Tennessee Tech (6-6, 3-5) | W 22-10 | 5.20 | 2.46 | +2.74 | 96.21%
| -2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Jacksonville State (6-6, 3-5) | W 29-23 | 4.83 | 6.31 | -1.48 | 16.72%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 5-3 | 5.14 | 5.01 | +0.127 | 6.28-5.72 (+0.72) | +5 |