| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs Northwestern State (3-9, 3-6) | W 42-20 | 5.62 | 5.31 | +0.31 | 57.83%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at #11 Florida (11-2, 6-2) | L 0-45 | 3.88 | 7.34 | -3.46 | 2.71%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Southern Illinois (7-5, 5-3) | L 14-28 | 4.93 | 5.59 | -0.66 | 33.70%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Murray State (4-8, 2-6) | W 40-7 | 5.26 | 5.93 | -0.67 | 33.36%
| +3 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Eastern Kentucky (7-5, 5-3) | W 38-28 | 6.57 | 5.11 | +1.46 | 82.98%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Tennessee Tech (6-6, 3-5) | W 55-14 | 11.06 | 3.39 | +7.67 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Eastern Illinois (1-11, 1-7) | W 27-18 | 4.23 | 4.56 | -0.34 | 41.49%
| +2 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Southeast Missouri State (9-4, 7-1) | L 10-17 | 4.86 | 4.78 | +0.07 | 51.85%
| -3 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs #18 Jacksonville State (6-6, 3-5) | W 22-17 | 6.07 | 5.17 | +0.90 | 71.83%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at #24 Austin Peay (11-4, 7-1) | L 24-38 | 4.42 | 6.55 | -2.12 | 7.96%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Tennessee State (3-9, 2-6) | W 28-17 | 5.67 | 4.33 | +1.34 | 80.78%
| -1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Kentucky (8-5, 3-5) | L 7-50 | 2.91 | 8.55 | -5.64 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 6-2 | 5.35 | 5.47 | -0.118 | 5.64-6.36 (+1.36) | +3 |