| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at Cincinnati (3-9, 1-8) | L 13-66 | 5.30 | 9.39 | -4.10 | 1.60%
| -2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Kentucky (7-6, 3-5) | L 17-28 | 5.55 | 6.79 | -1.23 | 21.17%
| -1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs Western Carolina (7-4, 5-3) | L 24-27 | 6.79 | 7.99 | -1.20 | 21.85%
| +1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs #20 Southeast Missouri State (4-7, 3-3) | W 41-38 | 6.79 | 6.06 | +0.73 | 67.97%
| 0 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at North Alabama (3-8, 1-5) | W 32-22 | 8.07 | 6.29 | +1.78 | 87.91%
| +2 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs Tarleton State (8-3, 4-2) | W 41-35 | 6.37 | 7.42 | -1.05 | 24.89%
| +2 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at Gardner-Webb (7-5, 5-1) | L 32-35 | | | | | |
| Oct 28October 28 | at Utah Tech (2-9, 1-5) | W 34-30 | 6.89 | 5.49 | +1.40 | 81.83%
| -2 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs #17 Austin Peay (9-3, 6-0) | L 30-33 | 5.49 | 7.00 | -1.51 | 16.24%
| 0 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at #24 Central Arkansas (7-4, 5-2) | L 24-27 | 5.68 | 5.74 | -0.06 | 48.34%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Stephen F. Austin (3-8, 0-7) | W 36-24 | 6.22 | 4.91 | +1.31 | 80.23%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 4-2 | 6.31 | 6.73 | -0.421 | 4.52-5.48 (+0.48) | 0 |