| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Coastal Carolina (5-7, 2-6) | W 30-23 | 5.11 | 5.18 | -0.07 | 48.13%
| +3 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Kentucky (8-5, 3-5) | L 17-38 | 5.15 | 6.15 | -1.00 | 25.94%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Illinois (6-7, 4-5) | W 34-31 | 6.32 | 6.03 | +0.29 | 57.31%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Central Connecticut (11-2, 7-0) | W 34-29 | 5.49 | 6.07 | -0.58 | 35.39%
| -1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Central Michigan (8-6, 6-3) | L 16-42 | 4.25 | 8.51 | -4.25 | 0.68%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Ball State (5-7, 4-4) | L 23-29 | 5.39 | 5.71 | -0.32 | 41.95%
| -3 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Western Michigan (7-6, 5-3) | W 34-27 | 6.92 | 5.98 | +0.94 | 72.75%
| +1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Toledo (6-6, 3-5) | L 34-37 | 6.31 | 6.72 | -0.41 | 39.55%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Buffalo (8-5, 5-3) | L 14-43 | 5.00 | 5.41 | -0.41 | 39.61%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 (Tue) | at Akron (0-12, 0-8) | W 42-14 | 7.43 | 6.11 | +1.33 | 80.55%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 (Tue) | at Northern Illinois (5-7, 4-4) | W 45-17 | 7.93 | 4.55 | +3.37 | 97.27%
| +3 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | vs Kent State (7-6, 5-3) | L 26-34 | 7.27 | 6.08 | +1.19 | 77.96%
| -1 |
| Dec 26December 26 (Thu) | vs Pittsburgh (8-5, 4-4) * | L 30-34 | 5.03 | 6.72 | -1.69 | 13.39%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 3-5 | 5.97 | 6.07 | -0.100 | 6.30-6.70 (-0.30) | +4 |