| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Monmouth (11-3, 7-0) | W 48-13 | 7.90 | 3.98 | +3.92 | 97.79%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at #19 Michigan State (7-6, 4-5) | L 17-51 | 5.18 | 8.69 | -3.51 | 2.69%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Georgia State (7-6, 4-4) | W 57-10 | 10.68 | 5.09 | +5.59 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Syracuse (5-7, 2-6) | L 33-52 | 6.96 | 6.65 | +0.32 | 57.97%
| -2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Central Michigan (8-6, 6-3) | W 31-15 | 6.55 | 5.46 | +1.08 | 75.78%
| +2 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Toledo (6-6, 3-5) | L 24-31 | 5.25 | 6.33 | -1.08 | 24.18%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Miami (OH) (8-6, 7-2) | W 38-16 | 4.77 | 4.56 | +0.21 | 55.22%
| +2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Eastern Michigan (6-7, 3-5) | L 27-34 | 5.98 | 6.92 | -0.94 | 27.22%
| -1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Bowling Green (3-9, 2-6) | W 49-10 | 7.09 | 5.02 | +2.07 | 91.46%
| +2 |
| Nov 5November 5 (Tue) | vs Ball State (5-7, 4-4) | W 35-31 | 6.66 | 6.29 | +0.37 | 59.21%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 (Tue) | at Ohio (7-6, 5-3) | W 37-34 | 5.75 | 6.89 | -1.14 | 22.95%
| +1 |
| Nov 26November 26 (Tue) | at Northern Illinois (5-7, 4-4) | L 14-17 | 5.19 | 4.24 | +0.96 | 73.10%
| 0 |
| Dec 30December 30 (Mon) | vs Western Kentucky (9-4, 6-2) * | L 20-23 | 4.58 | 6.01 | -1.43 | 17.53%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 6.33 | 5.86 | +0.465 | 7.05-5.95 (-0.05) | +8 |