| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 (Fri) | vs St Francis (PA) (5-6, 4-3) | W 35-15 | 5.13 | 4.56 | +0.56 | 64.03%
| 0 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at #18 Wisconsin (9-4, 6-3) | L 7-34 | 2.42 | 6.91 | -4.49 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at UMass (1-11) | W 42-28 | 7.68 | 7.11 | +0.57 | 64.27%
| +1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Texas State (4-8, 3-5) | W 59-21 | 6.38 | 4.84 | +1.54 | 84.32%
| +1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at Northern Illinois (9-5, 7-2) | L 20-27 | 5.88 | 4.29 | +1.59 | 85.04%
| -1 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Miami (OH) (7-6, 5-3) | W 13-12 | 4.02 | 5.66 | -1.65 | 13.99%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Ball State (6-7, 4-4) | L 31-38 | 5.13 | 5.70 | -0.56 | 35.89%
| -2 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at Bowling Green (4-8, 2-6) | W 55-24 | 6.41 | 5.67 | +0.74 | 68.27%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 (Tue) | at Toledo (7-6, 5-3) | W 52-49 | 6.28 | 8.29 | -2.00 | 9.23%
| +2 |
| Nov 9November 9 (Tue) | vs Ohio (3-9, 3-5) | L 26-34 | 5.45 | 8.12 | -2.67 | 4.09%
| -1 |
| Nov 16November 16 (Tue) | vs Western Michigan (8-5, 4-4) | W 22-21 | 6.30 | 7.46 | -1.16 | 22.56%
| +2 |
| Nov 26November 26 (Fri) | at Central Michigan (9-4, 6-2) | L 10-31 | 3.65 | 4.82 | -1.17 | 22.41%
| 0 |
| Dec 18December 18 | at Liberty (8-5) * | L 20-56 | 4.57 | 8.66 | -4.09 | 1.63%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 5.45 | 6.29 | -0.843 | 4.76-8.24 (+2.24) | +3 |