| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | vs Baylor (12-2, 8-2) | L 22-29 | 3.51 | 5.59 | -2.09 | 8.33%
| -2 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Florida International (1-11, 0-8) | W 23-17 | 4.48 | 5.56 | -1.08 | 24.34%
| +3 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Incarnate Word (10-3, 7-1) | L 34-42 | 5.41 | 6.41 | -1.00 | 26.01%
| +1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Eastern Michigan (7-6, 4-4) | L 21-59 | 4.84 | 6.38 | -1.54 | 15.66%
| -1 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs South Alabama (5-7, 2-6) | W 33-31 | 5.33 | 4.78 | +0.55 | 63.75%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Troy (5-7, 3-5) | L 28-31 | 5.21 | 5.61 | -0.40 | 39.97%
| -4 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at Georgia State (8-5, 6-2) | L 16-28 | 4.61 | 7.09 | -2.47 | 5.13%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Louisiana (13-1, 9-0) | L 0-45 | 4.40 | 5.99 | -1.59 | 14.93%
| -3 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 2-6) | W 27-19 | 6.78 | 4.41 | +2.37 | 94.20%
| 0 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Georgia Southern (3-9, 2-6) | L 30-38 | 4.32 | 5.81 | -1.49 | 16.48%
| -1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Coastal Carolina (11-2, 6-2) | L 21-35 | 5.10 | 6.55 | -1.45 | 17.17%
| 0 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at Arkansas State (2-10, 1-7) | W 24-22 | 6.06 | 6.20 | -0.14 | 46.35%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 4.98 | 5.83 | -0.852 | 3.72-8.28 (+0.28) | -8 |