| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 (Fri) | at Miami (9-4, 5-3) | L 6-34 | 3.33 | 7.29 | -3.96 | 2.12%
| 0 |
| Sep 5September 5 (Thu) | at East Carolina (10-3, 6-2) | L 13-31 | 3.81 | 4.88 | -1.06 | 24.58%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at South Florida (2-10, 2-6) | W 28-10 | 4.30 | 4.33 | -0.03 | 49.18%
| +2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Middle Tennessee (8-5, 6-2) | L 35-42 | 5.30 | 6.46 | -1.17 | 22.44%
| -3 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Rice (10-4, 8-1) | L 14-18 | 4.95 | 3.59 | +1.35 | 81.07%
| -3 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at UAB (2-10, 1-7) | W 37-23 | 7.06 | 5.29 | +1.77 | 87.77%
| 0 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Marshall (10-4, 7-2) | L 23-24 | 5.20 | 5.15 | +0.05 | 51.31%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at #11 Auburn (12-2, 8-1) | L 10-45 | 4.84 | 8.16 | -3.31 | 2.77%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Tulane (7-6, 5-3) | W 34-17 | 4.66 | 2.83 | +1.83 | 88.64%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Southern Mississippi (1-11, 1-7) | W 41-7 | 5.11 | 3.05 | +2.06 | 91.41%
| +3 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs New Mexico State (2-10) | W 55-10 | 8.73 | 3.94 | +4.79 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | vs Florida International (1-11, 1-7) | W 21-6 | 6.95 | 2.13 | +4.82 | 100.00%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 4-4 | 5.36 | 4.84 | +0.522 | 7.01-4.99 (-1.01) | -3 |