| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Miami (OH) (0-12, 0-8) | W 52-14 | 6.29 | 4.19 | +2.09 | 91.74%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Gardner-Webb (7-5, 2-3) | W 55-0 | 6.88 | 2.88 | +4.00 | 98.03%
| +5 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Ohio (7-6, 4-4) | L 31-34 | 6.10 | 4.47 | +1.63 | 85.81%
| -4 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Virginia Tech (8-5, 5-3) | L 21-29 | 4.15 | 4.39 | -0.24 | 43.86%
| -1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs UT San Antonio (7-5, 6-2) | W 34-10 | 4.99 | 4.03 | +0.96 | 73.08%
| +2 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Florida Atlantic (6-6, 4-4) | W 24-23 | 5.15 | 5.20 | -0.05 | 48.65%
| 0 |
| Oct 24October 24 (Thu) | at Middle Tennessee (8-5, 6-2) | L 49-51 | 5.15 | 5.85 | -0.70 | 32.65%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Southern Mississippi (1-11, 1-7) | W 61-13 | 9.94 | 4.90 | +5.04 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs UAB (2-10, 1-7) | W 56-14 | 12.64 | 6.36 | +6.28 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Nov 14November 14 (Thu) | at Tulsa (3-9, 2-6) | W 45-34 | 6.01 | 4.16 | +1.85 | 88.92%
| -3 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Florida International (1-11, 1-7) | W 48-10 | 8.59 | 3.54 | +5.04 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | vs East Carolina (10-3, 6-2) | W 59-28 | 6.65 | 5.43 | +1.22 | 78.58%
| +1 |
| Dec 7December 7 | at Rice (10-4, 8-1) | L 24-41 | 4.76 | 7.38 | -2.62 | 4.30%
| -1 |
| Dec 27December 27 (Fri) | at Maryland (7-6, 3-5) * | W 31-20 | 6.01 | 5.36 | +0.66 | 66.28%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-4, 7-2 | 6.41 | 4.90 | +1.509 | 10.12-3.88 (-0.12) | +3 |