| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs Bryant (4-7, 2-3) | W 38-37 | 4.83 | 6.03 | -1.19 | 21.98%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Texas State (4-8, 2-6) | L 12-41 | 4.01 | 6.19 | -2.18 | 7.41%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Western Kentucky (9-5, 6-2) | L 0-73 | 2.72 | 9.56 | -6.83 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at New Mexico State (7-6, 2-0) | W 21-7 | 5.14 | 3.81 | +1.33 | 80.60%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs UConn (6-7) | L 12-33 | 6.20 | 6.09 | +0.11 | 52.67%
| -3 |
| Oct 14October 14 (Fri) | vs UTSA (11-3, 9-0) | L 10-30 | 4.31 | 5.77 | -1.47 | 16.90%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Charlotte (3-9, 2-6) | W 34-15 | 5.88 | 4.75 | +1.14 | 76.88%
| +4 |
| Oct 28October 28 (Fri) | vs Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | W 42-34 | 5.11 | 5.43 | -0.32 | 41.79%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at North Texas (7-7, 6-3) | L 14-52 | 4.03 | 8.09 | -4.06 | 1.76%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Florida Atlantic (5-7, 4-4) | L 7-52 | 4.33 | 4.64 | -0.31 | 42.13%
| -4 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at UTEP (5-7, 3-5) | L 6-40 | 1.65 | 6.65 | -4.99 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Middle Tennessee (8-5, 4-4) | L 28-33 | 6.90 | 5.39 | +1.52 | 83.93%
| -4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 2-6 | 4.70 | 6.05 | -1.349 | 4.26-7.74 (-0.26) | -5 |