| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 27August 27 | vs Austin Peay (7-4, 2-2) | W 38-27 | 5.86 | 4.74 | +1.12 | 76.63%
| +3 |
| Sep 3September 3 | at Hawai'i (3-10, 2-6) | W 49-17 | 6.87 | 4.56 | +2.31 | 93.71%
| +4 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Indiana (4-8, 2-7) | L 30-33 | 6.73 | 5.38 | +1.35 | 81.01%
| -1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Florida International (4-8, 2-6) | W 73-0 | 9.56 | 2.65 | +6.91 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Troy (12-2, 8-1) | L 27-34 | 5.53 | 5.46 | +0.07 | 51.73%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at UT San Antonio (11-3, 9-0) | L 28-31 | 6.59 | 6.08 | +0.51 | 62.86%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Middle Tennessee (8-5, 4-4) | W 35-17 | 5.21 | 3.78 | +1.43 | 82.48%
| -2 |
| Oct 21October 21 (Fri) | vs UAB (7-6, 4-4) | W 20-17 | 5.25 | 6.35 | -1.10 | 23.85%
| +3 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs North Texas (7-7, 6-3) | L 13-40 | 5.90 | 8.20 | -2.30 | 6.37%
| -2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Charlotte (3-9, 2-6) | W 59-7 | 10.21 | 4.74 | +5.47 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Rice (5-8, 3-5) | W 45-10 | 9.00 | 4.73 | +4.28 | 99.47%
| +4 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Auburn (5-7, 2-6) | L 17-41 | 4.38 | 6.03 | -1.66 | 13.82%
| -2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at Florida Atlantic (5-7, 4-4) | W 32-31 | 6.72 | 5.99 | +0.73 | 68.01%
| -2 |
| Dec 21December 21 (Wed) | at South Alabama (10-3, 7-1) * | W 44-23 | 8.26 | 5.26 | +2.99 | 96.90%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-5, 6-2 | 6.72 | 5.24 | +1.479 | 9.57-4.43 (-0.57) | +10 |