| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 (Fri) | vs Charlotte (2-10, 0-8) | L 20-23 | 5.68 | 4.74 | +0.94 | 72.67%
| +2 |
| Sep 12September 12 | at New Mexico State (3-9, 3-5) | W 34-32 | 6.54 | 6.78 | -0.24 | 43.83%
| -2 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at #12 Oregon (9-4, 7-2) | L 28-61 | 5.67 | 6.42 | -0.75 | 31.60%
| -3 |
| Oct 3October 3 | vs #18 Liberty (6-5, 3-3) | L 33-41 | 9.42 | 6.12 | +3.30 | 97.24%
| 0 |
| Oct 10October 10 | vs Appalachian State (11-2, 7-1) | L 3-37 | 3.75 | 7.22 | -3.47 | 2.71%
| -1 |
| Oct 17October 17 | at Ball State (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-19 | 6.27 | 4.23 | +2.04 | 91.17%
| 0 |
| Oct 31October 31 | at Arkansas State (9-4, 8-0) | L 34-48 | 6.55 | 6.42 | +0.13 | 53.20%
| +1 |
| Nov 7November 7 | vs Louisiana (4-8, 3-5) | L 21-23 | 5.74 | 4.52 | +1.22 | 78.55%
| 0 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at Texas State (3-9, 2-6) | W 41-19 | 8.93 | 5.39 | +3.54 | 97.33%
| 0 |
| Nov 21November 21 | vs South Alabama (5-7, 3-5) | W 24-10 | 4.92 | 4.15 | +0.78 | 69.06%
| +1 |
| Nov 27November 27 (Fri) | vs Troy (4-8, 3-5) | W 31-21 | 6.18 | 5.27 | +0.91 | 72.10%
| 0 |
| Dec 5December 5 | at Georgia Southern (9-4, 6-2) | W 34-7 | 7.09 | 3.22 | +3.86 | 97.66%
| +1 |
| Dec 19December 19 | vs San José State (6-7, 4-4) * | L 16-27 | 4.71 | 3.92 | +0.80 | 69.53%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 5-3 | 6.23 | 5.30 | +0.932 | 8.77-4.23 (-2.77) | -1 |