| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | at NC State (7-6, 3-5) | L 21-49 | 6.63 | 5.36 | +1.27 | 79.57%
| -2 |
| Sep 12September 12 | vs Charleston Southern (10-3, 6-0) | W 44-16 | 6.68 | 4.25 | +2.43 | 94.59%
| +1 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at #24 Wisconsin (10-3, 6-2) | L 3-28 | 3.75 | 7.57 | -3.82 | 2.43%
| -1 |
| Oct 3October 3 | vs South Alabama (5-7, 3-5) | L 18-24 | 3.90 | 5.07 | -1.17 | 22.37%
| -1 |
| Oct 10October 10 | at Mississippi State (9-4, 4-4) | L 17-45 | 3.10 | 7.00 | -3.90 | 2.26%
| -2 |
| Oct 17October 17 | vs Idaho (4-8, 3-5) | L 16-19 | 5.08 | 4.52 | +0.56 | 63.96%
| -4 |
| Oct 24October 24 | at New Mexico State (3-9, 3-5) | W 52-7 | 7.30 | 4.84 | +2.46 | 94.82%
| +2 |
| Oct 31October 31 | at Appalachian State (11-2, 7-1) | L 41-44 | 5.11 | 5.14 | -0.03 | 49.24%
| -1 |
| Nov 7November 7 | vs Louisiana Monroe (2-11, 1-7) | W 51-14 | 6.94 | 4.88 | +2.06 | 91.39%
| +6 |
| Nov 14November 14 | vs Georgia Southern (9-4, 6-2) | L 10-45 | 5.06 | 5.62 | -0.55 | 36.17%
| -2 |
| Nov 27November 27 (Fri) | at Georgia State (6-7, 5-3) | L 21-31 | 5.27 | 6.18 | -0.91 | 27.87%
| 0 |
| Dec 5December 5 | at Louisiana (4-8, 3-5) | W 41-17 | 7.34 | 3.97 | +3.37 | 97.27%
| +4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 5.41 | 5.25 | +0.160 | 6.62-5.38 (-2.62) | 0 |