| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | at Iowa (12-2, 8-1) | L 14-31 | 4.20 | 6.25 | -2.05 | 8.76%
| +1 |
| Sep 12September 12 | vs Morgan State (4-6, 4-4) | W 67-14 | 9.16 | 3.94 | +5.22 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at Eastern Illinois (7-5, 7-1) | W 34-31 | 5.60 | 4.86 | +0.74 | 68.30%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 | vs #6 Northern Iowa (9-5, 5-4) | W 21-13 | 3.89 | 3.62 | +0.26 | 56.66%
| +1 |
| Oct 10October 10 | at #7 Youngstown State (5-6, 3-5) | W 31-29 | 7.06 | 6.30 | +0.76 | 68.74%
| +1 |
| Oct 17October 17 | at Missouri State (1-10, 0-8) | W 38-2 | 8.80 | 3.36 | +5.44 | 100.00%
| -2 |
| Oct 24October 24 | vs #23 Western Illinois (7-6, 5-4) | W 48-28 | 8.91 | 4.93 | +3.98 | 97.95%
| -1 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs #23 Indiana State (5-6, 3-5) | W 27-24 | 6.09 | 5.27 | +0.83 | 70.18%
| -1 |
| Nov 7November 7 | at #11 South Dakota State (8-4, 5-3) | L 20-25 | 6.70 | 6.55 | +0.15 | 53.70%
| +2 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at Southern Illinois (3-8, 2-6) | W 42-21 | 7.67 | 4.83 | +2.84 | 96.54%
| +2 |
| Nov 21November 21 | vs South Dakota (5-6, 3-5) | W 46-0 | 7.54 | 2.46 | +5.08 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Dec 5December 5 | vs Western Illinois (7-6, 5-4) | W 36-19 | 6.51 | 5.36 | +1.16 | 77.26%
| -1 |
| Dec 11December 11 (Fri) | vs Richmond (10-4, 7-2) | L 27-39 | 6.31 | 8.42 | -2.11 | 8.04%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 8-1 | 6.76 | 5.07 | +1.693 | 9.06-3.94 (+0.94) | +7 |