| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 (Thu) | at Western Illinois (7-6, 5-4) | L 5-33 | 3.58 | 3.37 | +0.21 | 55.41%
| -2 |
| Sep 12September 12 | at Northwestern (10-3, 6-2) | L 0-41 | 2.82 | 5.84 | -3.02 | 3.06%
| -1 |
| Sep 19September 19 | vs #6 Illinois State (10-3, 8-1) | L 31-34 | 4.86 | 5.60 | -0.74 | 31.67%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 | at Austin Peay (0-11, 0-8) | W 40-16 | 6.51 | 4.35 | +2.15 | 92.34%
| -1 |
| Oct 10October 10 | vs Southeast Missouri State (4-7, 3-4) | W 33-28 | 6.07 | 5.39 | +0.68 | 66.82%
| 0 |
| Oct 17October 17 | at Tennessee State (4-6, 1-6) | W 25-22 | 4.70 | 3.99 | +0.72 | 67.70%
| -1 |
| Oct 24October 24 | vs Tennessee Tech (4-7, 3-5) | W 51-20 | | | | | |
| Oct 31October 31 | at Murray State (3-8, 2-6) | W 34-20 | 5.87 | 5.41 | +0.47 | 61.69%
| +2 |
| Nov 7November 7 | vs #1 Jacksonville State (13-2, 8-0) | L 3-24 | 3.73 | 4.81 | -1.08 | 24.29%
| -1 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at UT Martin (7-4, 6-2) | W 23-21 | 4.76 | 5.10 | -0.34 | 41.33%
| +2 |
| Nov 21November 21 | vs Eastern Kentucky (6-5, 5-3) | W 21-7 | 3.29 | 2.57 | +0.71 | 67.63%
| +7 |
| Nov 28November 28 | at #14 Northern Iowa (9-5, 5-4) | L 17-53 | 4.61 | 7.03 | -2.42 | 5.49%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 7-1 | 4.68 | 4.85 | -0.167 | 5.17-5.83 (+1.83) | +3 |