| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Northern Illinois (5-7, 4-4) | L 10-24 | 3.97 | 5.72 | -1.75 | 12.41%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Morehead State (5-7, 3-5) | W 42-14 | 6.52 | 3.82 | +2.70 | 96.05%
| -2 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Eastern Illinois (1-11, 1-7) | W 21-3 | 4.60 | 2.94 | +1.66 | 86.15%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Northern Arizona (4-8, 2-6) | W 40-27 | 7.97 | 4.66 | +3.31 | 97.24%
| -1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs #1 North Dakota State (16-0, 9-0) | L 3-37 | 3.92 | 6.89 | -2.96 | 3.16%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Southern Illinois (7-5, 5-3) | W 21-7 | 5.69 | 5.34 | +0.35 | 58.91%
| +2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Western Illinois (1-11, 1-7) | W 28-14 | | | | | |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Indiana State (5-7, 3-5) | W 24-7 | 4.73 | 2.87 | +1.86 | 89.08%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs #10 Northern Iowa (10-5, 7-2) | L 10-27 | 3.89 | 4.64 | -0.75 | 31.53%
| -2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at #4 South Dakota State (8-5, 5-4) | W 27-18 | 4.87 | 4.48 | +0.39 | 59.77%
| +3 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Missouri State (1-10, 1-7) | W 17-12 | 3.84 | 4.56 | -0.72 | 32.27%
| -1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Youngstown State (6-6, 2-6) | L 3-21 | 2.49 | 4.03 | -1.54 | 15.69%
| 0 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at #13 Southeast Missouri State (9-4, 7-1) | W 24-6 | 5.94 | 5.71 | +0.23 | 55.82%
| +2 |
| Dec 7December 7 | at Central Arkansas (9-4, 7-2) | W 24-14 | 5.22 | 4.00 | +1.22 | 78.58%
| +4 |
| Dec 14December 14 | at North Dakota State (16-0, 9-0) | L 3-9 | 4.04 | 4.11 | -0.07 | 48.26%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-5, 5-4 | 4.94 | 4.58 | +0.357 | 7.65-6.35 (+2.35) | +3 |