| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at #18 Wisconsin (7-6, 4-5) | L 0-38 | 4.86 | 8.30 | -3.44 | 2.71%
| -2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Valparaiso (5-7, 4-4) | W 28-21 | 5.42 | 3.28 | +2.13 | 92.15%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Eastern Illinois (2-9, 1-5) | W 35-7 | 5.08 | 2.61 | +2.47 | 94.88%
| +3 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Southern Illinois (5-6, 4-4) | L 14-19 | 4.20 | 5.03 | -0.84 | 29.53%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Northern Iowa (6-5, 5-3) | W 23-21 | 5.18 | 6.31 | -1.13 | 23.16%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs South Dakota (3-8, 2-6) | W 12-10 | 4.06 | 4.98 | -0.92 | 27.70%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Indiana State (2-9, 1-7) | W 27-21 | 5.57 | 4.72 | +0.85 | 70.66%
| -1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at #4 North Dakota State (12-3, 7-2) | L 7-24 | 4.38 | 5.49 | -1.11 | 23.73%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Youngstown State (7-4, 5-3) | L 17-19 | 4.48 | 5.03 | -0.55 | 36.24%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at #1 South Dakota State (14-1, 9-0) | L 7-31 | 2.38 | 5.99 | -3.61 | 2.65%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Western Illinois (0-11, 0-8) | W 20-13 | 3.43 | 3.54 | -0.11 | 47.19%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 4-4 | 4.55 | 4.92 | -0.371 | 4.51-6.49 (+1.49) | +1 |