| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 (Thu) | vs #15 New Hampshire (7-5, 5-3) | W 43-13 | 8.03 | 3.65 | +4.39 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 12September 12 | at Air Force (8-6, 6-3) | L 16-37 | 5.47 | 5.65 | -0.18 | 45.46%
| -1 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at Oregon State (2-10, 0-9) | L 21-35 | 3.67 | 6.17 | -2.50 | 4.95%
| 0 |
| Sep 26September 26 | vs Fresno State (3-9, 2-6) | W 49-23 | 6.70 | 3.98 | +2.72 | 96.13%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 | at Auburn (7-6, 2-6) | L 21-35 | 5.72 | 5.90 | -0.18 | 45.46%
| -4 |
| Oct 10October 10 | at UNLV (3-9, 2-6) | W 33-27 | 6.17 | 5.17 | +1.00 | 74.03%
| 0 |
| Oct 17October 17 | vs San Diego State (11-3, 9-0) | L 7-30 | 2.51 | 6.08 | -3.57 | 2.66%
| -2 |
| Oct 24October 24 | vs New Mexico (7-6, 5-3) | W 31-21 | 6.47 | 6.44 | +0.03 | 50.62%
| +2 |
| Nov 6November 6 (Fri) | vs BYU (9-4) | L 16-17 | 4.20 | 5.31 | -1.10 | 23.77%
| 0 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at Nevada (7-6, 5-4) | L 34-37 | 6.37 | 5.45 | +0.91 | 72.17%
| 0 |
| Nov 21November 21 | at Hawai'i (3-10, 0-8) | W 42-23 | 6.97 | 6.59 | +0.39 | 59.69%
| +2 |
| Nov 27November 27 (Fri) | vs Boise State (9-4, 5-3) | L 23-40 | 6.41 | 7.20 | -0.80 | 30.41%
| -2 |
| Dec 19December 19 | at Georgia State (6-7, 5-3) * | W 27-16 | 3.92 | 4.71 | -0.80 | 30.44%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 4-4 | 5.70 | 5.60 | +0.103 | 6.36-6.64 (-0.36) | -5 |