| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 (Thu) | vs #7 Towson (7-4, 6-2) | W 41-21 | 4.45 | 4.79 | -0.34 | 41.45%
| +6 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at Kentucky (2-10, 0-8) | L 14-47 | 5.11 | 7.81 | -2.70 | 3.96%
| -1 |
| Sep 19September 19 (Wed) | at Buffalo (4-8, 3-5) | W 23-7 | 4.99 | 4.32 | +0.66 | 66.47%
| +3 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs Ball State (9-4, 6-2) | W 45-43 | 6.78 | 6.88 | -0.10 | 47.51%
| 0 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Eastern Michigan (2-10, 1-7) | W 41-14 | 5.77 | 5.26 | +0.50 | 62.57%
| +1 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at Army (2-10) | W 31-17 | 7.65 | 5.08 | +2.57 | 95.43%
| +1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs Western Michigan (4-8, 2-6) | W 41-24 | 6.00 | 5.12 | +0.88 | 71.45%
| +4 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at #15 Rutgers (9-4, 5-2) | W 35-23 | 4.93 | 6.20 | -1.27 | 20.54%
| +5 |
| Nov 3November 3 | vs Akron (1-11, 0-8) | W 35-24 | 6.17 | 5.97 | +0.20 | 54.97%
| +1 |
| Nov 10November 10 | at Miami (OH) (4-8, 3-5) | W 48-32 | 8.53 | 7.29 | +1.24 | 78.99%
| 0 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Bowling Green (8-5, 6-2) | W 31-24 | 7.20 | 5.84 | +1.36 | 81.25%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 (Fri) | vs Ohio (9-4, 4-4) | W 28-6 | 6.50 | 3.90 | +2.60 | 95.61%
| 0 |
| Nov 30November 30 (Fri) | vs #21 Northern Illinois (12-2, 9-0) * | L 37-44 | 3.29 | 5.82 | -2.53 | 4.78%
| +1 |
| Jan 6January 6 (Sun) | at Arkansas State (10-3, 7-1) * | L 13-17 | 5.07 | 4.19 | +0.88 | 71.44%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-3, 8-1 | 5.77 | 5.59 | +0.183 | 7.96-6.04 (+3.04) | +20 |