| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 (Thu) | vs Eastern Michigan (2-10, 1-7) | W 37-26 | 6.21 | 5.46 | +0.75 | 68.36%
| 0 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at #12 Clemson (11-2, 7-1) | L 27-52 | 5.51 | 6.26 | -0.75 | 31.39%
| -2 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Indiana (4-8, 2-6) | W 41-39 | 4.94 | 6.41 | -1.47 | 16.85%
| 0 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs South Florida (3-9, 1-6) | W 31-27 | 5.82 | 6.91 | -1.09 | 24.05%
| +2 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Kent State (11-3, 8-1) | L 43-45 | 6.88 | 6.78 | +0.10 | 52.45%
| 0 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs Northern Illinois (12-2, 9-0) | L 23-35 | 5.63 | 6.79 | -1.16 | 22.69%
| -1 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Western Michigan (4-8, 2-6) | W 30-24 | 4.92 | 6.15 | -1.22 | 21.34%
| -1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at Central Michigan (7-6, 4-4) | W 41-30 | 5.73 | 6.97 | -1.24 | 21.04%
| 0 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at Army (2-10) | W 30-22 | 5.23 | 5.57 | -0.35 | 41.25%
| 0 |
| Nov 6November 6 (Tue) | at #25 Toledo (9-4, 6-2) | W 34-27 | 5.95 | 6.74 | -0.80 | 30.43%
| -2 |
| Nov 14November 14 (Wed) | vs Ohio (9-4, 4-4) | W 52-27 | 8.78 | 6.53 | +2.25 | 93.21%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 (Fri) | at Miami (OH) (4-8, 3-5) | W 31-24 | 4.54 | 4.94 | -0.40 | 39.88%
| +1 |
| Dec 21December 21 (Fri) | at UCF (10-4, 7-2) * | L 17-38 | 4.88 | 6.59 | -1.71 | 13.11%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 6-2 | 5.74 | 6.33 | -0.591 | 4.76-8.24 (+4.24) | -3 |