| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at Mississippi State (9-4, 4-4) | L 23-49 | 5.77 | 6.59 | -0.83 | 29.77%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Navy (4-8, 4-4) | W 37-13 | 7.55 | 4.55 | +3.00 | 96.92%
| +3 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Arkansas State (3-9, 1-7) | W 44-32 | 7.49 | 5.61 | +1.89 | 89.36%
| +1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs North Texas (7-7, 6-3) | W 44-34 | 4.58 | 5.91 | -1.34 | 19.21%
| +2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Temple (3-9, 1-7) | W 24-3 | 3.72 | 5.03 | -1.31 | 19.62%
| +2 |
| Oct 7October 7 (Fri) | vs Houston (8-5, 5-3) | L 32-33 | 5.84 | 5.72 | +0.12 | 53.13%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at East Carolina (8-5, 4-4) | L 45-47 | 6.82 | 6.14 | +0.68 | 66.75%
| -2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at #25 Tulane (12-2, 8-1) | L 28-38 | 5.61 | 4.91 | +0.69 | 67.16%
| -4 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs #25 UCF (9-5, 6-3) | L 28-35 | 5.77 | 6.01 | -0.24 | 43.88%
| -1 |
| Nov 10November 10 (Thu) | vs Tulsa (5-7, 3-5) | W 26-10 | 4.67 | 3.45 | +1.22 | 78.56%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs North Alabama (1-10) | W 59-0 | 6.85 | 2.53 | +4.32 | 99.80%
| +3 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at SMU (7-6, 5-3) | L 31-34 | 5.63 | 5.65 | -0.03 | 49.34%
| -1 |
| Dec 27December 27 (Tue) | at Utah State (6-7, 5-3) * | W 38-10 | 5.66 | 4.50 | +1.16 | 77.31%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 3-5 | 5.79 | 5.26 | +0.532 | 7.91-5.09 (-0.91) | +6 |