| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs UMass (1-11, 0-3) | W 42-10 | 6.05 | 3.15 | +2.90 | 96.71%
| +2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Alcorn State (5-6, 4-4) | W 52-0 | 7.44 | 2.37 | +5.07 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Kansas State (10-4, 8-2) | W 17-10 | 5.09 | 4.60 | +0.49 | 62.23%
| -2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Southern Mississippi (7-6, 4-4) | L 24-27 | 5.93 | 4.87 | +1.07 | 75.49%
| -1 |
| Sep 30September 30 (Fri) | at Houston (8-5, 5-3) | W 27-24 | 5.06 | 4.73 | +0.33 | 58.25%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs East Carolina (8-5, 4-4) | W 24-9 | 5.84 | 5.59 | +0.25 | 56.29%
| +2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at South Florida (1-11, 0-8) | W 45-31 | 6.48 | 7.39 | -0.91 | 27.90%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Memphis (7-6, 3-5) | W 38-28 | 4.91 | 5.61 | -0.69 | 32.81%
| +4 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Tulsa (5-7, 3-5) | W 27-13 | 6.69 | 4.36 | +2.34 | 93.94%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs #22 UCF (9-5, 6-3) | L 31-38 | 5.92 | 5.57 | +0.35 | 58.89%
| -2 |
| Nov 17November 17 (Thu) | vs SMU (7-6, 5-3) | W 59-24 | 8.05 | 4.90 | +3.16 | 97.13%
| +4 |
| Nov 25November 25 (Fri) | at #24 Cincinnati (9-4, 6-2) | W 27-24 | 5.47 | 4.88 | +0.59 | 64.63%
| +1 |
| Dec 3December 3 | vs #22 UCF (9-5, 6-3) | W 45-28 | 10.30 | 4.27 | +6.03 | 100.00%
| -3 |
| Jan 2January 2 (Mon) | at USC (11-3, 8-2) * | W 46-45 | 10.37 | 7.13 | +3.23 | 97.20%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 12-2, 8-1 | 6.61 | 5.00 | +1.608 | 10.21-3.79 (+1.79) | +4 |