| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 (Thu) | vs McNeese (7-4, 4-3) | L 21-27 | 5.04 | 6.43 | -1.38 | 18.35%
| -3 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-17 | 6.96 | 5.93 | +1.02 | 74.53%
| 0 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Memphis (4-8, 4-4) | W 48-30 | 5.78 | 5.70 | +0.08 | 51.92%
| +3 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Georgia Tech (7-7, 5-4) | W 49-28 | 7.61 | 5.38 | +2.23 | 93.06%
| +2 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs Louisiana Monroe (8-5, 6-2) | L 17-31 | 5.79 | 5.56 | +0.24 | 55.98%
| -2 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at Florida International (3-9, 2-6) | W 34-30 | 6.30 | 6.44 | -0.14 | 46.34%
| +1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at #12 Mississippi State (8-5, 4-4) | L 3-45 | 4.18 | 7.56 | -3.38 | 2.74%
| -2 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs North Texas (4-8, 3-5) | W 38-21 | 7.28 | 6.00 | +1.28 | 79.76%
| +4 |
| Nov 1November 1 (Thu) | at Western Kentucky (7-6, 4-4) | W 34-29 | 5.10 | 6.95 | -1.85 | 11.13%
| +2 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at South Alabama (2-11, 1-7) | W 20-12 | 6.36 | 4.83 | +1.53 | 84.12%
| +4 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs Troy (5-7, 3-5) | W 24-21 | 5.13 | 5.43 | -0.30 | 42.39%
| +3 |
| Dec 1December 1 | at Arkansas State (10-3, 7-1) | L 0-45 | 3.69 | 7.53 | -3.84 | 2.39%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-4, 6-2 | 5.80 | 6.09 | -0.283 | 5.63-6.37 (+2.37) | +10 |