| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | vs #12 Monmouth (7-4, 6-1) | W 50-15 | 5.62 | 3.43 | +2.19 | 92.70%
| +4 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at #19 Virginia Tech (6-7, 4-5) | L 14-35 | 4.59 | 5.72 | -1.12 | 23.34%
| -1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at UT San Antonio (12-2, 8-1) | L 13-27 | 3.62 | 5.08 | -1.46 | 17.01%
| +1 |
| Sep 24September 24 (Fri) | at Charlotte (5-7, 3-5) | L 39-42 | 7.97 | 7.66 | +0.31 | 57.84%
| +1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs Marshall (7-6, 5-3) | W 34-28 | 4.49 | 6.01 | -1.53 | 15.89%
| +4 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Liberty (8-5) | L 13-41 | 4.27 | 6.24 | -1.96 | 9.71%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 (Fri) | at Connecticut (1-11) | W 44-13 | 5.63 | 4.68 | +0.95 | 73.04%
| +3 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Southern Mississippi (3-9, 2-6) | W 35-10 | 5.13 | 2.85 | +2.27 | 93.40%
| +1 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Western Kentucky (9-5, 7-2) | L 21-48 | 4.31 | 4.82 | -0.51 | 37.12%
| -7 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Florida International (1-11, 0-8) | W 50-10 | 5.67 | 2.87 | +2.80 | 96.42%
| +4 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs Old Dominion (6-7, 5-3) | L 17-24 | 4.93 | 6.69 | -1.76 | 12.35%
| -2 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at Florida Atlantic (5-7, 3-5) | W 27-17 | 5.19 | 5.30 | -0.11 | 47.21%
| 0 |
| Dec 17December 17 (Fri) | at Toledo (7-6, 5-3) * | W 31-24 | 5.09 | 6.30 | -1.20 | 21.79%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 5.11 | 5.18 | -0.069 | 5.98-7.02 (+1.02) | +9 |