| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at #16 Oklahoma (11-2, 7-2) | L 0-34 | 2.72 | 5.17 | -2.45 | 5.29%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Grambling (1-9, 1-6) | W 48-10 | 8.40 | 4.09 | +4.31 | 99.75%
| -2 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Wake Forest (4-8, 2-6) | W 21-19 | 4.08 | 5.16 | -1.08 | 24.21%
| -1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at #20 Baylor (11-2, 8-1) | L 7-70 | 3.64 | 10.14 | -6.50 | 0.00%
| -3 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Tulane (7-6, 5-3) | L 14-31 | 4.25 | 4.36 | -0.11 | 47.19%
| -4 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Thu) | vs Western Kentucky (8-4, 4-3) | L 10-31 | 5.84 | 6.97 | -1.14 | 23.07%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Texas State (6-6, 2-5) | W 21-14 | 3.05 | 4.97 | -1.92 | 10.16%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Georgia State (0-12, 0-7) | W 38-10 | 6.51 | 3.81 | +2.70 | 96.04%
| +2 |
| Oct 31October 31 (Thu) | at Troy (6-6, 4-3) | W 49-37 | 6.42 | 5.94 | +0.47 | 61.90%
| +2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Arkansas State (8-5, 5-2) | L 14-42 | 5.05 | 6.10 | -1.05 | 24.82%
| -1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at South Alabama (6-6, 4-3) | L 14-36 | 4.09 | 5.97 | -1.88 | 10.69%
| +1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at Louisiana (9-4, 5-2) | W 31-28 | 6.46 | 6.20 | +0.26 | 56.61%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 4-3 | 5.03 | 5.82 | -0.792 | 4.60-7.40 (+1.40) | -4 |