| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 27August 27 | vs Idaho State (1-10, 1-7) | W 52-21 | 8.15 | 3.60 | +4.55 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at California (4-8, 2-7) | L 14-20 | 4.83 | 5.21 | -0.38 | 40.32%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs North Texas (7-7, 6-3) | W 58-27 | 7.39 | 6.87 | +0.52 | 62.88%
| +2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Utah State (6-7, 5-3) | W 34-24 | 4.38 | 5.69 | -1.31 | 19.79%
| +6 |
| Sep 30September 30 (Fri) | vs New Mexico (2-10, 0-8) | W 31-20 | 5.31 | 4.54 | +0.77 | 68.98%
| 0 |
| Oct 7October 7 (Fri) | at San José State (7-5, 5-3) | L 7-40 | 3.87 | 6.87 | -3.00 | 3.09%
| -1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Air Force (10-3, 5-3) | L 7-42 | 5.11 | 5.32 | -0.20 | 44.85%
| -4 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Notre Dame (9-4, 1-0) | L 21-44 | 4.90 | 5.71 | -0.81 | 30.24%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at San Diego State (7-6, 5-3) | L 10-14 | 5.33 | 4.38 | +0.95 | 73.02%
| -3 |
| Nov 11November 11 (Fri) | vs Fresno State (10-4, 8-1) | L 30-37 | 5.43 | 6.35 | -0.92 | 27.68%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Hawai'i (3-10, 2-6) | L 25-31 | 5.85 | 5.86 | -0.01 | 49.78%
| +1 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Nevada (2-10, 0-8) | W 27-22 | 4.88 | 5.35 | -0.47 | 38.14%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 3-5 | 5.53 | 5.46 | +0.070 | 5.59-6.41 (-0.59) | +6 |