| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 10September 10 | at #9 Georgia (8-5, 4-4) | L 24-26 | 3.87 | 6.02 | -2.15 | 7.72%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Incarnate Word (3-8, 3-6) | W 35-28 | 5.47 | 4.85 | +0.62 | 65.49%
| +1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at South Alabama (6-7, 2-6) | L 40-41 | 3.71 | 5.54 | -1.83 | 11.32%
| +2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at #22 McNeese (6-5, 5-4) | L 13-38 | 4.96 | 6.39 | -1.43 | 17.61%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Stephen F. Austin (5-6, 4-5) | W 35-28 | 4.16 | 4.14 | +0.02 | 50.50%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Houston Baptist (-) | W 33-30 | 5.46 | 5.00 | +0.46 | 61.55%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Sam Houston State (12-1, 9-0) | L 21-38 | 5.01 | 6.61 | -1.60 | 14.70%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Northwestern State (1-10, 0-9) | W 31-14 | 4.97 | 5.22 | -0.26 | 43.42%
| +2 |
| Nov 3November 3 (Thu) | vs Lamar (3-8, 3-6) | W 35-10 | 5.53 | 3.77 | +1.77 | 87.78%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at #13 Central Arkansas (10-3, 8-1) | L 24-31 | 6.12 | 4.78 | +1.34 | 80.85%
| -3 |
| Nov 17November 17 (Thu) | vs Southeastern Louisiana (7-4, 7-2) | L 42-44 | 6.87 | 6.08 | +0.79 | 69.48%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 5-4 | 5.16 | 5.29 | -0.134 | 5.10-5.90 (-0.10) | 0 |