| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Army (3-9) | W 49-26 | 7.24 | 5.29 | +1.95 | 90.11%
| +3 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Kansas (2-10, 0-9) | L 42-45 | 7.45 | 6.11 | +1.34 | 80.83%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs #7 Wisconsin (11-3, 7-2) * | L 7-49 | 4.75 | 7.67 | -2.92 | 3.27%
| +1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Cal Poly (6-5, 3-1) | W 47-30 | 7.58 | 5.34 | +2.23 | 93.07%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Central Michigan (3-9, 2-6) | L 41-48 | 6.28 | 9.43 | -3.15 | 2.88%
| -2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Kent State (5-7, 4-4) | W 40-10 | 5.55 | 2.10 | +3.45 | 97.30%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Western Michigan (7-6, 5-3) | W 51-22 | 8.50 | 4.54 | +3.96 | 97.88%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Buffalo (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-30 | 4.49 | 6.22 | -1.72 | 12.83%
| +5 |
| Nov 1November 1 (Tue) | at Toledo (9-4, 7-1) | W 63-60 | 8.58 | 6.62 | +1.96 | 90.29%
| -1 |
| Nov 8November 8 (Tue) | at Bowling Green (5-7, 3-5) | W 45-14 | 7.79 | 5.98 | +1.81 | 88.29%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 (Tue) | vs Ball State (6-6, 4-4) | W 41-38 | 7.65 | 5.77 | +1.88 | 89.33%
| -1 |
| Nov 25November 25 (Fri) | vs Eastern Michigan (6-6, 4-4) | W 18-12 | | | | | |
| Dec 2December 2 (Fri) | vs Ohio (10-4, 6-3) * | W 23-20 | 6.69 | 5.47 | +1.23 | 78.71%
| -1 |
| Jan 8January 8 (Sun) | vs Arkansas State (10-3, 8-0) * | W 38-20 | 5.52 | 4.74 | +0.78 | 69.24%
| +4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-3, 8-1 | 6.83 | 5.80 | +1.034 | 8.94-4.06 (+2.06) | +9 |