| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at #2 Montana (8-5, 4-4) | L 0-47 | 2.92 | 6.54 | -3.62 | 2.64%
| -5 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Grambling (3-8, 2-7) * | L 21-47 | 4.78 | 8.70 | -3.92 | 2.21%
| -2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Southern Mississippi (-) | L 10-64 | 3.60 | 8.28 | -4.68 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Lamar (1-10, 1-3) | W 35-27 | 7.79 | 4.64 | +3.15 | 97.13%
| -2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Nicholls (3-8, 3-4) | W 36-33 | 5.34 | 6.94 | -1.60 | 14.76%
| +1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Eastern Illinois (2-9, 1-5) | L 27-35 | 5.09 | 5.54 | -0.45 | 38.59%
| -2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Houston Christian (2-9, 0-5) | W 37-10 | 5.91 | 3.26 | +2.65 | 95.83%
| -1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs #18 Southeast Missouri State (9-3, 5-0) | L 16-51 | 6.29 | 7.94 | -1.64 | 14.03%
| -2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Texas A&M-Commerce (5-6, 3-2) | W 41-14 | 4.53 | 3.68 | +0.85 | 70.70%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Southeastern Louisiana (-) | L 7-23 | 3.54 | 5.94 | -2.40 | 5.62%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs #7 Incarnate Word (12-2, 4-0) | L 7-66 | 3.67 | 10.92 | -7.24 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-7, 3-1 | 4.87 | 6.47 | -1.604 | 3.42-7.58 (+0.58) | -15 |