| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Liberty (8-5, 2-1) | L 27-29 | 5.81 | 5.39 | +0.42 | 60.56%
| -2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at #15 Miami (5-7, 3-5) | L 7-30 | 4.71 | 5.58 | -0.87 | 28.68%
| -2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Northwestern State (4-7, 3-1) | W 64-10 | 8.28 | 3.60 | +4.68 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Tulane (12-2, 8-1) | W 27-24 | 4.87 | 5.93 | -1.07 | 24.48%
| +1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Troy (12-2, 8-1) | L 10-27 | 3.36 | 5.83 | -2.47 | 5.16%
| -2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Arkansas State (3-9, 1-7) | W 20-19 | 5.00 | 4.40 | +0.60 | 64.93%
| -2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Texas State (4-8, 2-6) | W 20-14 | 4.24 | 3.86 | +0.38 | 59.63%
| -2 |
| Oct 27October 27 (Thu) | vs Louisiana (6-7, 4-4) | W 39-24 | 5.14 | 5.78 | -0.64 | 34.08%
| +2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Georgia State (4-8, 3-5) | L 14-42 | 3.37 | 6.35 | -2.99 | 3.12%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Coastal Carolina (9-4, 6-3) | L 23-26 | 5.53 | 6.33 | -0.80 | 30.29%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs South Alabama (10-3, 7-1) | L 20-27 | 4.45 | 6.74 | -2.29 | 6.44%
| +2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | W 20-10 | 7.11 | 3.85 | +3.26 | 97.22%
| 0 |
| Dec 17December 17 | vs Rice (5-8, 3-5) * | W 38-24 | 10.19 | 5.99 | +4.20 | 98.95%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 5.52 | 5.39 | +0.134 | 6.14-6.86 (+0.86) | -4 |